Rebordosa vs Machico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
7º
3º
25
8º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
81.5% | 67% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 33% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rebordosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 0
REB
73%
18%
9%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
REB
2 - 0
CAS
21%
22%
57%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +4 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BMA
1 - 3
REB
85%
11%
5%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
REB
2 - 0
MAR
11%
16%
73%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +4 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 1
REB
84%
11%
6%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
4 - 0
MAC
87%
10%
4%
|
18 | 59 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 0
ALP
32%
22%
46%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 1
MAC
85%
11%
4%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 1
CAM
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 0
BOA
4%
10%
87%
|
17 | 72 | 55 | +1 |