Reboceros de la Piedad vs Lobos ULMX analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
5º
14º
11º
36
6º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
94% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 58 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
53 | 56 |
8º
|
44% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
9º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
10º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
46 | 49 |
11º
|
75.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
72% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 36 |
14º
|
39.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 32 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
89.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reboceros de la Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
IRA
3 - 0
REB
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
REB
4 - 0
TAM
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DEV
2 - 1
REB
11%
20%
69%
|
54 | 20 | 34 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
REB
1 - 1
MON
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 0
REB
20%
25%
56%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Lobos ULMX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
TAM
5 - 1
LUL
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
LUL
2 - 1
MON
23%
23%
54%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ESC
2 - 0
LUL
62%
21%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LUL
0 - 1
CAF
16%
20%
64%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
RFC
1 - 0
LUL
8%
14%
79%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | -2 |