Real Succes vs Grănicerul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
63.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Succes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
UNG
2 - 5
REA
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
REA
3 - 4
ISK
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
REA
4 - 3
SIR
21%
23%
56%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +3 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
CAH
2 - 1
REA
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2018 |
CSF
3 - 2
REA
41%
21%
38%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Grănicerul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 0
FLO
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 2
MIL
13%
19%
68%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
SAX
0 - 1
GRA
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
CFS
3 - 5
GRA
44%
23%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
COD
3 - 0
GRA
45%
23%
33%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -2 |