Real Succes vs FC Sheriff II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
63.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Succes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ZIM
4 - 0
REA
61%
22%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
MIL
2 - 0
REA
83%
12%
5%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
REA
1 - 2
FCV
35%
24%
42%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FCS
2 - 1
REA
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
LOC
0 - 0
REA
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Sheriff II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
FCS
2 - 0
CFR
81%
13%
7%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SAX
2 - 0
FCS
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FCS
2 - 0
INT
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
FCS
3 - 0
FCS
83%
12%
6%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
FCD
0 - 0
FCS
39%
26%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |