Sporting Atlético vs CD Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.6%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
12%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
15.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.1%
2.3%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
SPB
2 - 0
RMC
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
COM
3 - 2
SPB
45%
30%
26%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
SPB
1 - 1
LUG
62%
24%
13%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
GRA
2 - 2
SPB
47%
28%
25%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
CDG
0 - 1
SPB
53%
27%
20%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
VCF
6 - 0
NAV
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 80 | 55 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
NAV
0 - 2
ENS
18%
34%
49%
|
25 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
BAS
4 - 1
NAV
88%
9%
3%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
NAV
3 - 1
CDG
16%
25%
59%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +5 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
NAV
0 - 0
SDE
28%
25%
48%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |