Sporting Atlético vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
13.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
ELC
5 - 1
SPB
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 77 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
ARO
2 - 1
SPB
42%
31%
27%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
SPB
2 - 1
NAV
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
SPB
0 - 2
ELC
29%
27%
44%
|
42 | 77 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
TUR
0 - 0
SPB
47%
29%
24%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
GIM
2 - 0
LUG
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
LUG
1 - 0
GRA
52%
29%
19%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
GIN
2 - 0
LUG
38%
26%
37%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
LUG
2 - 1
GIM
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
LUG
3 - 0
CEL
80%
14%
6%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |