Real Sport Clube vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
54.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
12º
11º
47
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sport Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
AMO
2 - 1
REA
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
REA
0 - 1
BEL
19%
27%
55%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 0
REA
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ORI
0 - 0
REA
29%
23%
48%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
REA
1 - 0
SCP
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
UDL
15%
22%
63%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UDL
1 - 1
ACA
36%
27%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 1
UDL
42%
26%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
UDL
4 - 0
VST
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 4
UDL
18%
24%
59%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |