Real Sport Clube vs Moncarapachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
12º
11º
17
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sport Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 0
REA
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DUM
2 - 1
REA
18%
19%
63%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SCP
1 - 0
REA
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SIN
2 - 3
REA
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
REA
1 - 0
UDL
20%
25%
55%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
ACA
20%
24%
56%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ALV
2 - 0
MON
58%
24%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
VST
23%
24%
54%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
OLI
47%
27%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
JUV
3 - 0
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |