Primera B Apertura round 1

Real Santander vs Tigres FC analysis

Real Santander Tigres FC
61 ELO 65
-1.4% Tilt 9.5%
2686º General ELO ranking 2009º
37º Country ELO ranking 34º
ELO win probability
37.6%
Real Santander
27.9%
Draw
34.5%
Tigres FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
Real Santander
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.5%
Win probability
Tigres FC
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Santander
-12%
+14%
Tigres FC

Points and table prediction

Real Santander
Their league position
Tigres FC
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
11º
10º
24
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cúcuta Deportivo
34
34
0%
Jaguares FC
34
34
0%
Patriotas Boyacá
33
33
100%
Internacional de Palmira
32
32
100%
Real Cundinamarca
29
29
100%
Atlético Huila
29
29
100%
Real Cartagena
28
28
100%
Tigres FC
24
24
100%
Leones
18
18
0%
Real Santander
10º
18
18
10º
0%
Orsomarso SC
11º
16
16
11º
100%
Deportes Quindío
12º
14
14
12º
100%
Bogotá
13º
13
13
13º
100%
Barranquilla
14º
11
11
14º
100%
Atlético Fútbol Club
15º
9
9
15º
100%
Boca Juniors de Cali
16º
8
8
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Real Santander
Tigres FC
Next round
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Real Santander
Tigres FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Santander
Real Santander
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2024
COR
Internacional de Palmira
4 - 2
Real Santander
REA
53%
26%
21%
61 72 11 0
16 Oct. 2024
REA
Real Santander
0 - 4
Llaneros
LLA
16%
26%
58%
61 81 20 0
09 Oct. 2024
REA
Real Santander
0 - 2
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
19%
27%
54%
61 78 17 0
05 Oct. 2024
CUC
Cúcuta Deportivo
6 - 0
Real Santander
REA
71%
19%
10%
62 78 16 -1
02 Oct. 2024
REA
Real Santander
0 - 2
Orsomarso SC
ORS
35%
29%
36%
62 70 8 0

Matches

Tigres FC
Tigres FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2024
CAR
Real Cartagena
3 - 1
Tigres FC
TFC
70%
20%
10%
66 78 12 0
16 Oct. 2024
TFC
Tigres FC
2 - 1
Unión Magdalena
UNI
13%
24%
64%
65 81 16 +1
05 Oct. 2024
BOG
Bogotá
3 - 2
Tigres FC
TFC
46%
27%
27%
65 63 2 0
29 Sep. 2024
TFC
Tigres FC
2 - 0
Atlético Fútbol Club
AFC
52%
26%
22%
65 56 9 0
23 Sep. 2024
CUC
Cúcuta Deportivo
3 - 0
Tigres FC
TFC
70%
20%
10%
65 77 12 0