Real San Joaquín vs Deportes Valdivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
12º
9º
27
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real San Joaquín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
LAU
1 - 2
JOA
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
JOA
3 - 1
TRA
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
LIM
2 - 1
JOA
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
JOA
2 - 3
SAU
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CDP
2 - 1
JOA
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Valdivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 3
FVC
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
LIM
38%
27%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 0
VAL
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 3
REN
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CON
1 - 2
VAL
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |