Real Salt Lake vs North Carolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Salt Lake
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
RSL
2 - 0
SES
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2013 |
RSL
5 - 2
CHA
72%
19%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
RSL
3 - 1
GAL
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
RSL
3 - 0
SJE
46%
27%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
RSL
3 - 2
ATL
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 2
MIN
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
EDM
1 - 1
CAR
26%
27%
46%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 1
CHI
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
TAM
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |