Real Pilar vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
6.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Pilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 1
RPI
35%
27%
38%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
RPI
2 - 1
LAM
61%
23%
17%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
BER
1 - 0
RPI
49%
27%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
RPI
1 - 1
ARM
36%
27%
38%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
PUE
0 - 1
RPI
35%
27%
38%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
POR
0 - 2
LAM
22%
25%
53%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
BER
1 - 0
POR
79%
15%
6%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
ARM
10%
17%
73%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
PUE
2 - 1
POR
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
LAF
13%
20%
68%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |