Real Pharma vs Chayka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
50.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
14º
14º
51
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Pharma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
FKK
1 - 2
RPH
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RPH
4 - 1
FCL
90%
7%
3%
|
42 | 8 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
3 - 0
RPH
10%
14%
76%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | -3 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
VAM
0 - 1
RPH
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
RPH
2 - 0
FKK
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chayka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 3
UCS
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 18 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
KAR
0 - 4
CHA
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 3
CHA
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
FCZ
5 - 0
CHA
54%
21%
24%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
OBO
1 - 1
CHA
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |