Real Oviedo vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
40.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
OVI
2 - 0
CUD
75%
17%
9%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2008 |
OVI
2 - 0
PON
22%
24%
54%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
OVI
3 - 0
CUD
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
TAP
2 - 0
OVI
16%
24%
59%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | -3 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
OVI
6 - 0
TUI
70%
19%
12%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
CDG
0 - 1
PON
32%
30%
38%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
PON
1 - 0
RCF
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
PON
1 - 0
ALI
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
ALI
2 - 0
PON
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
PON
1 - 1
MER
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |