Real Noroeste vs Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 2
REA
47%
25%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
REA
1 - 2
LIN
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
COL
4 - 2
REA
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
EST
0 - 0
REA
46%
24%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
REA
5 - 1
DES
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 0
BOT
51%
24%
26%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
DES
2 - 0
CAS
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
SAO
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 0
EST
29%
25%
47%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +4 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 1
CAS
57%
23%
21%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |