Real Nocera vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
53.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Nocera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 0
REA
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
REA
0 - 1
EBO
34%
25%
42%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
CAS
3 - 0
REA
70%
18%
12%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
REA
2 - 0
GSM
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
FCR
0 - 1
REA
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
MES
0 - 3
CIT
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
ASD
1 - 0
MES
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
MES
1 - 3
ASD
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
MES
23%
25%
52%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
MES
2 - 2
TUR
58%
23%
20%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |