Real Murcia vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
MUR
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 2
ALC
54%
27%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAB
2 - 2
MUR
21%
26%
52%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 2
FCB
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
HER
0 - 1
MUR
62%
21%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
GIR
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CCF
3 - 0
ALC
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 0
GIM
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
REC
19%
29%
52%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
ALC
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |