Real Murcia Imperial vs Alcantarilla FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
10º
7º
25
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BUL
2 - 1
IMP
19%
24%
57%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
IMP
0 - 1
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
RMC
0 - 1
IMP
57%
23%
21%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
IMP
2 - 0
CAR
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MIN
2 - 3
IMP
36%
26%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alcantarilla FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ALC
0 - 1
CAP
37%
26%
36%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MUL
1 - 0
ALC
39%
26%
35%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ALC
0 - 0
LAU
19%
23%
58%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 1
ALC
84%
12%
4%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
LOR
21%
24%
55%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |