Real Monarchs vs San Diego Loyal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
USA
1 - 0
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MON
1 - 3
LOU
31%
23%
46%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
COL
0 - 0
MON
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
LOU
1 - 3
MON
65%
20%
16%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MON
2 - 1
EPL
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Diego Loyal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
TAC
1 - 2
SDL
23%
25%
51%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SDL
1 - 1
LVG
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
REN
2 - 4
SDL
33%
21%
46%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |