Real Monarchs vs Sacramento Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
MON
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
LVG
0 - 2
MON
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
FFC
54%
26%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
MON
4 - 1
SPK
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
ORA
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2018 |
REN
0 - 1
SAC
50%
22%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ARI
1 - 3
SAC
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2018 |
SAC
3 - 1
FRA
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SAC
2 - 3
REN
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SEA
1 - 2
SAC
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |