Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
LAG
3 - 1
MON
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
MON
2 - 2
LVG
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MON
2 - 2
OKC
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ORA
3 - 1
MON
49%
23%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
FFC
1 - 1
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Portland Timbers II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
POR
1 - 2
ORA
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
REN
1 - 3
POR
73%
16%
11%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
LVG
1 - 0
POR
39%
24%
37%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
POR
2 - 4
OKC
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2019 |
POR
3 - 2
NMU
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |