MLS Next Pro Normal Season Round 26

Real Monarchs vs Los Angeles FC II analysis

Real Monarchs Los Angeles FC II
57 ELO 50
3.6% Tilt 0.5%
3891º General ELO ranking 5038º
70º Country ELO ranking 92º
ELO win probability
56.3%
Real Monarchs
22.4%
Draw
21.3%
Los Angeles FC II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
Real Monarchs
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.3%
Win probability
Los Angeles FC II
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Monarchs
+32%
+7%
Los Angeles FC II

ELO progression

Real Monarchs
Los Angeles FC II
Sporting Kansas City II
Ventura County
Portland Timbers II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Monarchs
Real Monarchs
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Aug. 2025
HOU
Houston Dynamo II
0 - 4
Real Monarchs
MON
53%
24%
23%
56 59 3 0
04 Aug. 2025
POR
Portland Timbers II
1 - 2
Real Monarchs
MON
48%
23%
29%
55 53 2 +1
27 Jul. 2025
SAN
The Town FC
4 - 0
Real Monarchs
MON
63%
22%
15%
56 66 10 -1
21 Jul. 2025
MON
Real Monarchs
1 - 1
Austin FC II
AFC
48%
25%
27%
55 57 2 +1
18 Jul. 2025
TAC
Tacoma Defiance
2 - 2
Real Monarchs
MON
73%
16%
10%
55 64 9 0

Matches

Los Angeles FC II
Los Angeles FC II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2025
TAC
Tacoma Defiance
4 - 2
Los Angeles FC II
LAF
70%
17%
13%
49 62 13 0
04 Aug. 2025
LAF
Los Angeles FC II
3 - 4
The Town FC
SAN
30%
26%
44%
49 66 17 0
28 Jul. 2025
LAF
Los Angeles FC II
1 - 3
Sporting Kansas City II
SPK
50%
22%
28%
50 47 3 -1
21 Jul. 2025
LAG
Ventura County
3 - 3
Los Angeles FC II
LAF
59%
21%
20%
50 55 5 0
14 Jul. 2025
LAF
Los Angeles FC II
1 - 0
Portland Timbers II
POR
39%
23%
37%
49 52 3 +1