Real Madriz vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
56.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
REA
2 - 2
JUV
25%
27%
48%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
REA
1 - 2
DIR
14%
23%
64%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
REA
2 - 1
MAN
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
DEP
3 - 2
REA
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
REA
1 - 4
EST
17%
26%
57%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 1
WAL
40%
27%
34%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 2
WAL
37%
27%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
DIR
2 - 1
WAL
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
WAL
6 - 1
CFC
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 5
WAL
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |