Real Madrid vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
5.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
VAD
2 - 3
RMA
16%
22%
62%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
VCF
1 - 2
RMA
37%
26%
38%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
RMA
2 - 1
VIL
81%
12%
7%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
RMA
3 - 0
VCF
67%
19%
14%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
BET
1 - 1
RMA
19%
23%
58%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
DEP
1 - 0
SEV
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 2
SEV
52%
25%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
SEV
0 - 1
FCB
34%
26%
40%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
SEV
4 - 0
ATM
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
ATM
2 - 1
SEV
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |