LaLiga Round 16

Real Madrid vs Sevilla analysis

Real Madrid Sevilla
89 ELO 78
10.8% Tilt -2.5%
General ELO ranking 49º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
78.7%
Real Madrid
12.3%
Draw
9%
Sevilla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
Real Madrid
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
9%
Win probability
Sevilla
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Madrid
-5%
-6%
Sevilla

ELO progression

Real Madrid
Sevilla
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 1936
VCF
Valencia
1 - 2
Real Madrid
RMA
37%
23%
40%
89 77 12 0
16 Feb. 1936
RMA
Real Madrid
3 - 1
Atlético
ATM
80%
12%
9%
89 74 15 0
09 Feb. 1936
ESP
Espanyol
3 - 0
Real Madrid
RMA
41%
22%
37%
90 78 12 -1
02 Feb. 1936
RMA
Real Madrid
5 - 1
Hércules
HER
90%
7%
3%
90 73 17 0
26 Jan. 1936
RMA
Real Madrid
5 - 1
Real Betis
BET
75%
14%
11%
89 83 6 +1

Matches

Sevilla
Sevilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 1936
SEV
Sevilla
2 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
43%
22%
35%
77 85 8 0
23 Feb. 1936
RAC
Racing
3 - 0
Sevilla
SEV
66%
17%
17%
78 80 2 -1
09 Feb. 1936
OVI
Real Oviedo
0 - 0
Sevilla
SEV
72%
15%
13%
78 81 3 0
02 Feb. 1936
SEV
Sevilla
1 - 2
Valencia
VCF
55%
19%
26%
78 76 2 0
26 Jan. 1936
SEV
Sevilla
1 - 1
Atlético
ATM
61%
18%
20%
78 75 3 0