Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
RMA
4 - 1
MLL
85%
11%
4%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
CEL
0 - 3
RMA
8%
18%
74%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RMA
2 - 1
BET
69%
18%
12%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ESP
1 - 3
RMA
9%
18%
74%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CEL
1 - 4
RMA
13%
20%
68%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
RB Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RBL
3 - 0
BVB
30%
23%
47%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
RBL
1 - 4
SHA
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
EIN
4 - 0
RBL
26%
23%
51%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
OTT
0 - 8
RBL
8%
17%
74%
|
89 | 43 | 46 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RBL
2 - 0
WOL
58%
23%
20%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |