Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1996 |
BET
1 - 1
RMA
40%
25%
36%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
RMA
3 - 0
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
DEP
1 - 1
RMA
48%
24%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1996 |
ZAR
0 - 1
RMA
39%
25%
37%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
RMA
4 - 0
MER
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
RAY
3 - 0
EXT
66%
20%
15%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
ATH
3 - 2
RAY
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
RAY
1 - 2
VAD
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1996 |
RAY
2 - 0
MLL
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1996 |
MLL
1 - 0
RAY
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |