Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 7-2
Real Madrid vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
RMA
0 - 1
ATH
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1999 |
RAC
2 - 6
RMA
25%
26%
49%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
FCB
3 - 0
RMA
62%
20%
19%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
RMA
3 - 2
VAD
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1999 |
VIL
0 - 2
RMA
19%
25%
56%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
RAC
2 - 4
ZAR
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1999 |
RAC
2 - 6
RMA
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
BET
1 - 1
RAC
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
RAC
2 - 0
ATH
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1999 |
RAC
1 - 0
ATH
41%
28%
32%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |