Copa del Rey . 1/16
Global 7-1
Real Madrid vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
95%
Win probability
3.74
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.2%
+8
1.9%
7-0
3.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
4.2%
6-0
7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
8%
5-0
11.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
13.2%
4-0
15%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
18.1%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.7%
4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
1.7%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
4%
0.8%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
0.7%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SEV
2 - 6
RMA
17%
21%
62%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
PON
0 - 2
RMA
6%
15%
79%
|
97 | 63 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
RMA
1 - 3
FCB
56%
21%
24%
|
97 | 97 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
AJA
0 - 3
RMA
10%
16%
75%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 3
RMA
7%
16%
78%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PON
2 - 0
ACF
72%
18%
9%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
PON
0 - 2
RMA
6%
15%
79%
|
63 | 97 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ALA
0 - 1
PON
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
PON
2 - 0
RUN
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
RSO
0 - 3
PON
26%
29%
46%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |