Real Madrid vs Kaiserslautern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATH
73%
16%
11%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
OSA
3 - 2
RMA
28%
27%
45%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1982 |
ATM
0 - 1
RMA
36%
28%
36%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
RMA
1 - 1
ESP
83%
11%
5%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
VCF
2 - 1
RMA
42%
26%
32%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
ARB
2 - 0
KAI
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
KAI
6 - 2
EIN
61%
20%
19%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1982 |
KAI
3 - 2
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1982 |
STU
4 - 0
KAI
57%
21%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1982 |
KAI
3 - 0
MSV
75%
15%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |