Real Madrid vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.9%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.8%
5-0
8.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10.6%
4-0
13%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.4%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.3%
1.7%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
EIB
1 - 2
RMA
12%
17%
71%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
PSG
1 - 2
RMA
37%
22%
41%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
RMA
3 - 1
GET
90%
7%
2%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 0
RMA
6%
13%
80%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
RMA
4 - 0
ALA
91%
7%
2%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
GIR
2 - 0
DEP
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 2
GIR
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
GIR
1 - 0
CEL
25%
24%
51%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
FCB
6 - 1
GIR
95%
4%
1%
|
81 | 96 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
GIR
3 - 0
LEG
53%
26%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |