Real Madrid vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
RMA
1 - 0
STB
85%
11%
4%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
GIM
1 - 3
RMA
14%
22%
64%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
ECI
1 - 1
RMA
8%
20%
72%
|
93 | 56 | 37 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
RMA
2 - 0
FCB
43%
25%
32%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
STB
1 - 4
RMA
17%
24%
59%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 1
EIN
64%
22%
15%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 2
SEV
36%
28%
36%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2006 |
ALA
0 - 0
CEL
36%
29%
36%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
ATH
0 - 1
CEL
46%
26%
28%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
CEL
3 - 2
VCF
34%
29%
37%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | +1 |