Real Madrid vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1969 |
RMA
0 - 0
ATM
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
ATM
2 - 1
RMA
46%
25%
29%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
UDL
0 - 1
RMA
34%
27%
39%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
RMA
2 - 0
MAL
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1969 |
ELC
1 - 0
RMA
22%
28%
50%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1969 |
SBR
3 - 2
FCB
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
FCB
3 - 0
RSO
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
RSO
5 - 1
FCB
41%
27%
32%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1969 |
FCB
4 - 1
KOL
72%
16%
12%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1969 |
FCB
1 - 1
VCF
74%
17%
10%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |