Real Madrid vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.9%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.6%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.1%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.7%
2.3%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
RMA
2 - 0
VCF
77%
14%
9%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2010 |
FCB
5 - 0
RMA
61%
20%
19%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
AJA
0 - 4
RMA
31%
25%
44%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
RMA
5 - 1
ATH
85%
10%
5%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 1
RMA
11%
20%
69%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
LEN
1 - 1
AUX
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
AUX
1 - 2
TFC
51%
27%
23%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
AUX
0 - 2
ACM
32%
28%
40%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
ASS
1 - 1
AUX
38%
28%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
AUX
2 - 1
REN
45%
28%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |