Real Madrid C vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
11º
1º
16
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
93% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RMA
4 - 2
TRJ
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 1
RMA
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
RMA
2 - 1
CDM
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
RVB
5 - 2
RMA
35%
22%
43%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATM
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 0
ARA
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 3
RVB
27%
24%
48%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GAL
3 - 1
ARA
54%
22%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 1
LRZ
20%
24%
56%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ALC
3 - 1
ARA
52%
24%
24%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |