Copa del Rey 1/512
Global 5-6
Real Jaén vs Xerez CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
RJA
0 - 0
HER
27%
28%
44%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
NOV
1 - 0
RJA
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
RJA
4 - 0
ILI
78%
15%
8%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
CAL
1 - 2
RJA
76%
15%
10%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1969 |
XER
4 - 0
RJA
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
BAL
0 - 0
XER
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
XER
1 - 0
SEV
55%
25%
21%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
JER
0 - 0
XER
66%
19%
14%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
XER
4 - 0
CDR
85%
11%
4%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1969 |
XER
4 - 0
RJA
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |