Real Jaén vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
RJA
2 - 1
MAR
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1993 |
REC
1 - 1
RJA
51%
28%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1993 |
FIG
1 - 0
RJA
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
RJA
3 - 0
MEL
72%
20%
9%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1993 |
RJA
2 - 1
FIG
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
ATH
2 - 2
VIL
55%
26%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1993 |
LUG
0 - 0
VIL
37%
31%
32%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1993 |
COM
0 - 1
VIL
62%
22%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
VIL
0 - 2
MLL
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1993 |
VIL
0 - 0
COM
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |