Real Jaén vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
CDB
1 - 0
RJA
51%
22%
27%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
RJA
1 - 0
BET
82%
11%
7%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
CAD
1 - 2
RJA
50%
22%
28%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
RJA
6 - 4
UDE
68%
17%
15%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
TER
2 - 1
RJA
38%
24%
38%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1955 |
VAL
2 - 1
SFE
70%
16%
14%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
CAT
1 - 0
VAL
74%
15%
11%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
CDT
1 - 2
VAL
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
VAL
8 - 0
CAT
90%
7%
3%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
ALC
1 - 0
VAL
70%
17%
14%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |