LaLiga round 3

Real Jaén vs Valencia analysis

Real Jaén Valencia
73 ELO 83
3.2% Tilt -3.7%
4951º General ELO ranking 56º
174º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
38.9%
Real Jaén
24.2%
Draw
36.9%
Valencia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
Real Jaén
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.9%
Win probability
Valencia
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Jaén
-34%
+7%
Valencia

ELO progression

Real Jaén
Valencia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 1957
SEV
Sevilla
0 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
78%
13%
9%
72 86 14 0
15 Sep. 1957
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 0
Granada
GRA
76%
15%
10%
72 61 11 0
01 May. 1957
DEP
RC Deportivo
1 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
71%
15%
13%
72 76 4 0
28 Apr. 1957
RJA
Real Jaén
0 - 1
RC Deportivo
DEP
58%
19%
22%
73 76 3 -1
21 Apr. 1957
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 0
Atlético
ATM
33%
24%
43%
71 85 14 +2

Matches

Valencia
Valencia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 1957
VCF
Valencia
1 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
35%
24%
41%
83 91 8 0
15 Sep. 1957
UDL
UD Las Palmas
5 - 3
Valencia
VCF
40%
25%
36%
84 74 10 -1
09 Jun. 1957
VCF
Valencia
1 - 1
Espanyol
ESP
65%
18%
16%
84 84 0 0
02 Jun. 1957
ESP
Espanyol
1 - 0
Valencia
VCF
56%
22%
23%
84 84 0 0
19 May. 1957
VCF
Valencia
3 - 0
Real Valladolid
VAD
72%
16%
13%
84 80 4 0