Segunda B Round 17

Real Jaén vs Marbella FC analysis

Real Jaén Marbella FC
61 ELO 51
-26.2% Tilt -16.4%
4949º General ELO ranking 2761º
172º Country ELO ranking 90º
ELO win probability
50.6%
Real Jaén
29.2%
Draw
20.2%
Marbella FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
Real Jaén
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
20.2%
Win probability
Marbella FC
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Jaén
-8%
+41%
Marbella FC

ELO progression

Real Jaén
Marbella FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2009
JER
Jerez Industrial
0 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
21%
28%
51%
60 40 20 0
29 Nov. 2009
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 0
Sangonera
LOR
43%
29%
28%
60 54 6 0
22 Nov. 2009
CIU
Atlético Ciudad
3 - 2
Real Jaén
RJA
29%
29%
42%
60 47 13 0
15 Nov. 2009
RJA
Real Jaén
3 - 1
Águilas CF
AGU
49%
29%
23%
60 50 10 0
08 Nov. 2009
AGD
AgD Ceuta
1 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
46%
28%
26%
61 60 1 -1

Matches

Marbella FC
Marbella FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 2009
MAR
Marbella FC
1 - 3
Cfba Caravaca
CFB
52%
24%
24%
53 49 4 0
29 Nov. 2009
MOR
Moratalla
0 - 1
Marbella FC
MAR
26%
28%
47%
53 40 13 0
22 Nov. 2009
MAR
Marbella FC
0 - 1
Real Murcia Imperial
IMP
51%
25%
24%
54 52 2 -1
15 Nov. 2009
ROQ
Ciudad de Roquetas
1 - 1
Marbella FC
MAR
50%
26%
24%
54 53 1 0
10 Nov. 2009
ATM
Atlético
6 - 0
Marbella FC
MAR
89%
9%
2%
54 89 35 0