Real Jaén vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
49%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
XER
0 - 0
RJA
42%
29%
29%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1998 |
EXT
2 - 2
RJA
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
RJA
2 - 1
ELC
48%
28%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
XER
0 - 3
RJA
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
NUM
2 - 2
RJA
51%
27%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
SEV
3 - 0
CDO
78%
16%
7%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1998 |
SEV
1 - 1
UDL
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
EIB
1 - 1
SEV
32%
31%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1998 |
SEV
2 - 0
ALB
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
CDT
1 - 0
SEV
32%
29%
39%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |