Real Jaén vs SD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1975 |
RJA
0 - 0
CEL
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
CDZ
2 - 0
RJA
33%
33%
34%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
RJA
2 - 0
LIN
62%
25%
14%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
RJA
3 - 0
SFE
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
IMP
0 - 2
RJA
28%
34%
39%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
SD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1975 |
SDM
1 - 1
MAL
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
SDM
0 - 1
JER
66%
22%
12%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
AGD
3 - 2
SDM
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
CCF
3 - 3
SDM
85%
9%
6%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
SDM
2 - 1
ELD
53%
27%
20%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |