Real Jaén vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
POR
0 - 1
RJA
34%
32%
34%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
RJA
2 - 1
XER
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
RJA
4 - 1
AGD
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
ANT
0 - 2
RJA
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1984 |
RJA
2 - 0
ALC
59%
25%
15%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
ZAR
3 - 2
ALB
49%
29%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
BAL
1 - 1
ZAR
52%
27%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
PBL
1 - 0
ZAR
46%
27%
26%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1984 |
ZAR
1 - 1
CDB
60%
25%
15%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1984 |
TAL
1 - 0
ZAR
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |