Real Jaén vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1962 |
VAL
4 - 0
RJA
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
RJA
6 - 2
CEU
61%
21%
17%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
SFE
2 - 1
RJA
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
RSO
3 - 0
RJA
71%
15%
14%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
VIL
0 - 2
RJA
39%
24%
37%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
MUR
1 - 1
CFC
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
HER
1 - 2
MUR
67%
20%
14%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
MUR
1 - 2
LEV
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1961 |
MUR
3 - 1
SPO
60%
20%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
MUR
1 - 1
MAL
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |