Real Jaén vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
21.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
ORI
4 - 4
RJA
69%
16%
15%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
RJA
1 - 1
ELC
51%
20%
29%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
LIN
1 - 1
RJA
54%
21%
26%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
RJA
3 - 6
ALI
65%
17%
18%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
ALB
5 - 1
RJA
84%
10%
6%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
IMP
2 - 0
CAA
74%
14%
12%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1948 |
IMP
1 - 0
CRE
76%
14%
11%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1948 |
CRE
1 - 1
IMP
47%
21%
32%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
CAR
3 - 0
IMP
63%
18%
18%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
IMP
5 - 1
ALM
83%
10%
7%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |