Real Jaén vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
43.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
RJA
2 - 2
AGU
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
LOR
2 - 3
RJA
69%
18%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 0
RJA
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
RJA
2 - 1
CER
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
AGD
1 - 1
RJA
36%
29%
35%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
SSR
0 - 0
RAY
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
RAY
5 - 0
ATB
62%
24%
14%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
EIB
2 - 0
RAY
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
RAY
1 - 0
EIB
43%
29%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
RAY
2 - 2
POR
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |