Real Jaén vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
MNC
0 - 1
RJA
30%
33%
37%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
RJA
0 - 1
LEV
79%
15%
6%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
FUE
1 - 2
RJA
36%
24%
40%
|
56 | 20 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
TAL
1 - 1
RJA
48%
28%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALC
74%
18%
8%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
RAY
1 - 2
ADP
68%
22%
10%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
ANT
1 - 3
RAY
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
ALC
1 - 2
RAY
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
RAY
2 - 2
ALG
61%
25%
15%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
AMA
1 - 3
RAY
24%
32%
45%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |