Tercera Division IX - Andalusia and Melilla Round 5

Real Jaén vs El Palo FC analysis

Real Jaén El Palo FC
42 ELO 34
1.6% Tilt -11%
4921º General ELO ranking 6598º
171º Country ELO ranking 282º
ELO win probability
71.8%
Real Jaén
16.9%
Draw
11.3%
El Palo FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
Real Jaén
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.3%
Win probability
El Palo FC
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Jaén
-25%
-60%
El Palo FC

ELO progression

Real Jaén
El Palo FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2019
HUE
Huétor Vega
0 - 2
Real Jaén
RJA
18%
22%
61%
40 24 16 0
08 Sep. 2019
RJA
Real Jaén
3 - 1
Almería B
ALM
61%
20%
18%
40 37 3 0
01 Sep. 2019
MOT
CF Motril
2 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
28%
23%
49%
41 29 12 -1
25 Aug. 2019
RJA
Real Jaén
7 - 1
Melilla CD
MEL
85%
10%
5%
41 22 19 0
17 Aug. 2019
MAR
Martos CD
1 - 6
Real Jaén
RJA
19%
23%
59%
41 23 18 0

Matches

El Palo FC
El Palo FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2019
PAL
El Palo FC
4 - 2
Loja
LOJ
66%
18%
15%
34 27 7 0
08 Sep. 2019
MAR
Maracena
1 - 3
El Palo FC
PAL
34%
26%
40%
33 26 7 +1
31 Aug. 2019
PAL
El Palo FC
2 - 0
Antequera CF
ANT
33%
24%
43%
30 39 9 +3
25 Aug. 2019
TOR
UDC Torredonjimeno
3 - 1
El Palo FC
PAL
55%
22%
23%
32 30 2 -2
18 Aug. 2019
LOJ
Loja
2 - 1
El Palo FC
PAL
47%
25%
28%
33 29 4 -1