Real Jaén vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
39.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
EIB
2 - 0
RJA
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
ALA
1 - 2
RJA
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
RJA
0 - 0
DEP
19%
26%
56%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
PON
1 - 0
RJA
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 0
RJA
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
NUM
0 - 1
LUG
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
EIB
1 - 2
NUM
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
NUM
0 - 2
ALA
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
DEP
3 - 3
NUM
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
NUM
2 - 0
PON
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |