Real Jaén vs CD Nerja Fundación analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
POL
3 - 0
RJA
23%
27%
50%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1990 |
RJA
2 - 0
BEN
86%
11%
3%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
ILI
0 - 0
RJA
14%
25%
62%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1990 |
RJA
0 - 3
MMA
84%
12%
4%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1990 |
MAR
1 - 2
RJA
21%
26%
53%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CD Nerja Fundación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
NER
2 - 1
VEL
42%
26%
32%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1990 |
MAL
2 - 0
NER
69%
19%
13%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
NER
4 - 0
ANT
69%
20%
12%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1990 |
POL
1 - 0
NER
72%
18%
10%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1990 |
NER
2 - 1
MIJ
64%
21%
15%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |